Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 82.305606 92.098672 102.073217 112.961643 124.482682 136.281697 149.250191
2025-09-14 68.069625 82.334050 97.466714 114.589894 133.307589 153.037983 175.301440
2025-09-21 57.920596 74.508721 92.666234 113.758585 137.345947 162.696400 191.793821
2025-09-28 49.115497 67.085199 87.348435 111.456113 138.960340 169.013639 204.002225
2025-10-05 45.632080 65.309958 88.008359 115.492669 147.301504 182.462689 223.798219
2025-10-12 41.914505 62.844535 87.527656 117.917667 153.558653 193.371954 240.585712
2025-10-19 37.176307 58.705091 84.715815 117.311356 156.067279 199.825207 252.171521
2025-10-26 33.043913 54.977103 82.116424 116.706140 158.364241 205.862707 263.134441
2025-11-02 29.981662 52.380875 80.710080 117.364137 162.005166 213.335230 275.642892
2025-11-09 26.598123 49.079829 78.203104 116.493198 163.674022 218.395725 285.273633
2025-11-16 23.992613 46.636744 76.633090 116.647477 166.466341 224.686753 296.260698
2025-11-23 21.165525 43.644606 74.170060 115.532545 167.597211 228.924563 304.777747
2025-11-30 19.464254 42.198948 73.713737 116.959949 171.870931 236.952253 317.829099
2025-12-07 18.025609 41.035485 73.565414 118.733999 176.545489 245.450659 331.444262
2025-12-14 15.868015 38.559345 71.474097 117.867390 177.842094 249.823931 340.126740
2025-12-21 13.484009 35.476761 68.363655 115.520651 177.169720 251.732748 345.810248
2025-12-28 13.152342 35.801947 70.105197 119.639249 184.688463 263.605368 363.401680
2026-01-04 12.397869 35.327906 70.646160 122.113302 190.094742 272.893125 377.899999
2026-01-11 10.906145 33.401149 68.960587 121.494774 191.485604 277.223961 386.417730
2026-01-18 9.554164 31.577168 67.330319 120.877351 192.821885 281.447192 394.775492
2026-01-25 8.613715 30.432162 66.665316 121.548620 195.797558 287.675206 405.544667
2026-02-01 7.430503 28.654426 64.932893 120.660107 196.685972 291.276730 413.100991
2026-02-08 6.563239 27.414708 63.976597 120.817503 198.913675 296.524023 422.644989